Harvest 2050 Blog

Posts Tagged ‘Dr. Jason Clay’

New Report Finds $90B Annual Agricultural Investment Gap

JUNE 27, 2011

Enhanced Private Sector Involvement Required To Meet Needs of 9 Billion By 2050

On June 27, the Global Harvest Initiative (GHI) released its final policy issue brief which estimates a $90 billion annual agricultural investment gap and outlines the significant role of the private sector in closing this gap and addressing global food security.

The policy issue brief, “Enhancing Private Sector Involvement in Agriculture and Rural Infrastructure Development,” points to the private sector as one of the key influencers in creating economic growth, raising global incomes, and feeding a population anticipated to reach nine billion people by 2050.

“With a $90 billion annual investment gap in the agricultural sector of developing countries, the task of doubling agricultural productivity in 40 years is a formidable one,” said Dr. William G. Lesher, Executive Director of the Global Harvest Initiative. “There are simply not enough resources in either developed or developing nations to bridge this sizable gap, so enhanced private sector involvement is the key to improving agricultural and rural development to ensure that the world’s future agricultural needs are met.”

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MarketWatch™ Reporter Ian Berry on Just Released GHI Research Issue Brief

APRIL 21, 2011

MarketWatch™ agribusiness reporter Ian Berry wrote a brief article (excerpts below) summarizing the just released GHI issue brief on the need for improved research funding, structure and collaboration in order to increase the rate of agricultural productivity to double agricultural output in the next 40 years.

Berry outlined a few key elements from the issue brief in his summary.

Here are a few important details that could be added to build on to the story:

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Hunger, Food Security Focus of Just Released Global Harvest Initiative Issue Brief

APRIL 20, 2011

On April 20, the Global Harvest Initiative (GHI) released the first of five policy issue briefs bringing a global focus to meeting the agricultural needs of a rapidly growing global population by increasing the rate of agricultural productivity; a recent GHI report suggests that the rate of agricultural productivity must increase at a minimum of 25 percent per year to meet future demand and double output over the next 40 years.

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Freezing the footprint of food

APRIL 13, 2010

In a forward-looking dissertation titled Agriculture from 2000 to 2050 - The Business As Usual Scenario, Dr. Jason Clay of the World Wildlife Fund effectively argues that the “business as usual” model for food production is not sustainable as the global population explodes over the next 40 years.

Dr. Clay, who presented his paper last month at the Global Harvest Initiative 2010 Symposium, Closing the Gap: Examining an Alternative Future, proposes freezing the footprint of food by intensifying, not expanding production.

It’s a compelling piece that also has been published in GHI’s book Benefits of An Alternative Future. The most persuasive aspect of Dr. Clay’s thesis is that it offers solutions for how we can feed the 9 billion people who will inhabit the Earth in 2050, while at the same time recognizing that we must be able to do in a way that sustains the planet. In other words, Dr. Clay urges that we need to do more with less impact on land and water resources.

Consider this excerpt from Dr. Clay’s paper:

We live on a single planet with finite resources. Today, we’re living at the level of 1.3 planets according to the World Wildlife Fund’s Living Planet Index. Translated: We are “eating” the planet-we are consuming the planet’s principle rather than living off its interest. And that’s today; by 2050, there will be nine billion people and on average they will consume twice as much. So the question is: How do we feed a larger population globally and maintain the planet? We must freeze the footprint of food. And, at the same time we must begin to do more with less, while restoring the planet. The math is simple. On a finite planet, population times how much each of us consumes must equal the Earth’s carrying capacity. Exceed that, and we degrade the planet not only for our generation, but for our children and our grandchildren.

In spelling out the consequences of continuing the business as usual scenario, Dr. Clay goes on to write:

For the past 50 years, we have expanded food production by converting natural habitat at the rate of 0.4 percent per year. In just the past decade - as developing countries such as China and India are hitting their economic strides - the rate has risen to 0.6 percent annually. This is occurring at a time when many might expect an increase in the intensity of production, rather than simple expansion.

If we assume the business as usual case for expanding into natural habitat, there will be very little natural habitat left by 2050. By that time, we will have 3 billion more people with 2.9 times as much income, consuming twice as much. In fact, the research suggests that in developing countries incomes are likely to increase more than five-fold by 2050. Moreover, by 2050, more people will live in cities (more than are alive today). If they behave like the urban residents of today, they will depend on others for virtually all their food. If we are to maintain a living planet for our grandchildren, then we will need to Freeze the Footprint of Food. We need more from less.

To freeze the footprint of food, we need smart policies, innovative ideas and new technologies. We must intensify food production rather than expand it…

Dr. Clay is right-on in his insightful assessment, particularly as it relates to intensifying agricultural production, while sustaining the planet. The Global Harvest Initiative also believes that much of the solution rests with agriculture’s ability to produce more with the same or fewer resources. The ability to meet the food needs of nine billion people in the year 2050 rests largely on utilizing shared ideas and innovations that will lead to accelerated agricultural productivity growth and improved supply chain efficiency. Working together we can get there; we must get there.

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Symposium continues GHI’s quest for solutions, cooperation

MARCH 09, 2010

Eight days and counting to our 2010 Symposium, Closing the Gap: Examining an Alternative Future. The symposium, which will be held on March 17 in Washington, D.C., continues the Global Harvest Initiative’s quest to explore and develop specific policies with a global perspective, while having the power to change the way agricultural products are produced and secured.

We expect it to be an exciting day of engaging discussions around the topics of agriculture, hunger, conservation and food security.We’ve assembled a wonderful group of presenters who will offer their ideas - both from a policy and philosophical perspective - regarding how we address the challenge of feeding the 9 billion people who are expected to populate the planet in 2050. Here’s an updated program agenda:

GHI 2010 Symposium Agenda.

A highlight of this year’s Symposium will be the unveiling of a five-part study, which was commissioned by GHI to provide a fact-based blueprint for developing the policies and systems necessary to sustainably meet growing demand. This diverse group of experts provide additional perspective on the difficulty of the challenges ahead, as well as the global consequences of not closing the productivity gap.

One chapter of the study entitled - The Business As Usual Scenario - was authored by Dr. Jason Clay, SVP of Markets for the World Wildlife Fund. Clay poignantly concludes that if we are to maintain a living planet for our grandchildren, then we will need to “freeze the footprint of food.” In other words, we need to do more with less impact on land and water resources.

There is still time to register. However, the event will be by invitation only and seating is expected to be limited. To request more information about the Symposium, please contact Christina Altenau at christina.altenau@globalharvestinitiative.org.

I look forward to seeing you there.

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